Minnesota Vikings vs St. Louis Rams 12/16/2012

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Expect a close game with the Minnesota Vikings winning 51% of simulations, and the St. Louis Rams 49% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Minnesota Vikings commit fewer turnovers in 58% of simulations and they go on to win 68% when they take care of the ball. The St. Louis Rams wins 74% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Adrian Peterson is averaging 126 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (39% chance) then he helps his team win 76%. Steven Jackson is averaging 52 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (20% chance) then he helps his team win 72%.
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